Happy Friday –
With just four days left until Election Day, the New England College (NEC) released a new poll showing that Frank Guinta “is poised to serve a second term” in the NH-1 race. Guinta quite obviously has strong momentum on his side, pulling away from Carol Shea-Porter with a 48%-41% lead.
Details from the NEC poll:
In New Hampshire’s race for Congress in the first district, the New England College poll indicates Congressman Frank Guinta is poised to serve a second term in Washington. The Republican incumbent holds a lead over Democratic challenger Carol Shea Porter. Among 511 respondents, Congressman Guinta picked up 48% support, Carol Shea Porter registered 41% support, 2% chose another candidate and 9% remain undecided with four days until the election. The margin for error in this poll is 4.33%.
“Representative Guinta is in a good position for reelection depending on the turnout on Election Day. His support among men outweighs former Representative Shea-Port’s lead among women,” explains Tafoya. “These numbers occur despite the President’s 50% approval rating in the first district.”
The NEC Poll of NH voters conducted a survey October 29, 30 and 31 of 2012. The sample was pulled from a list of registered voters in NH with both landline and cell phones. The poll was conducted using Interactive Voice Response technology, an automated polling system. The results shown are for likely voters interviewed across the three nights. A detailed breakdown of this poll will be available later today at nec.edu.