Poll: Fitzpatrick leads by 15 in PA-01

New polling released this morning in Politics PA shows Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick leading 50-to-35 in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District.

Markedly, Fitzpatrick leads Finello among Independent voters, 49-to-22, and even earns 20 percent support from registered Democrats.

Click here for the full polling memo, and click here to read the story from Politics PA.

In case you missed it…

Exclusive: GOP Poll Shows Fitzpatrick Leading Finello 50-35

Politics PA

John Cole

July 21, 2020

https://www.politicspa.com/exclusive-gop-poll-shows-fitzpatrick-leading-finello-50-35/95152/

A national Republican PAC says that Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Bucks) is in good position to secure another term in Congress.

A poll shared exclusively with PoliticsPA by Congressional Leadership Fund shows Fitzpatrick leads Democratic candidate Christina Finello, an Ivyland Borough Councilwoman, 50-to-35, with 5 percent voting for the Libertarian candidate and 8 percent undecided for the race in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District.

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The poll was conducted by American Viewpoint and included 400 interviews of likely PA-1 voters. The polling memo says 55% of interviews conducted with a cell phone sample of those that couldn’t be reached on a landline. The 400 interviews were conducted between July 13-15 and the poll has  a ± 4.9% margin of error at the 95% confidence level, although the margin of error among sub-groups is greater.

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Additional polling included in the memo attempt to make the case that Fitzpatrick’s lead is impressive, given the momentum that Democrats have gained in the suburbs, while Finello remains largely unknown by the likely voters of this Bucks County district.

Democrats have a 48-to-43 generic ballot advantage and a 2 point edge over Republicans in terms of party registration among likely voters. The polling also shows that Fitzpatrick leads Finello among Independent voters, 49-to-22, and even earns 20 percent support from registered Democrats.

56% of likely voters have a favorable impression of Fitzpatrick, while 33% have an unfavorable impression of the incumbent GOP congressman. 13% of likely voters have a favorable impression of Finello, while 8% have an unfavorable impression, 6% said that they don’t know, and 53% said that they were unaware of her.

The polling said that among 47% of the electorate who were aware of both candidate, Fitzpatrick leads Finello, 57-to-31.

“Finello has yet to even lock in her own partisan base, let alone begin to make inroads with key swing voters,” an excerpt from the memo reads. “Congressman Fitzpatrick is in a strong position and is poised to be re-elected in November.”

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Fitzpatrick’s campaign released an internal poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, last week that showed him leading Finello by 14 points, 53-to-39. While Fitzpatrick also held a double digit lead in that poll, Biden led Trump by 9 points in PA1, 51-to-42.

The survey can be found here.