Poll: GOP has edge for open Wis. House seat

As Speaker Paul Ryan campaigns today for WI-08 candidate Mike Gallagher, Congressional Leadership Fund is releasing a new poll fielded this week in the open-seat race.

As first reported by The Hill below, the CLF-commissioned NMB Research poll finds Republican Mike Gallagher in the driver’s seat. Key findings include:

  • Gallagher has a 13-point lead over Democrat Tom Nelson on the congressional ballot
  • Gallagher has highest favorability in the poll, exceeding Nelson, Trump and Clinton
  • Trump holds a 3-point lead over Clinton on the presidential ballot

Full survey memo here.

Gallagher is proving a strong candidate in the race in the midst of a volatile political environment and Democrat spending from the DCCC and House Majority PAC. CLF is spending $900,000 in the WI-08 race, with advertising hitting the airwaves next week.


Poll: GOP has edge for open Wis. House seat
The Hill
By Cristina Marcos
October 21, 2016

The GOP has a good chance at keeping an open House seat in Wisconsin that Democrats had hoped to flip this year, according to a new poll.

Republican businessman Mike Gallagher has 52 percent support, and Democrat Tom Nelson has 41 percent, according to an NMB Research survey conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund and provided to The Hill on Friday.

The fund, a super PAC affiliated with House GOP leadership, is spending $900,000 in the race.

The poll was conducted among 400 registered voters earlier this week, but before the final presidential debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, on Wednesday night.

Gallagher is significantly outperforming Trump in Wisconsin’s 8th District. The GOP presidential nominee leads Clinton by only 3 points, though both candidates are viewed unfavorably.

Fifty-five percent of the survey’s respondents in the district view Trump unfavorably, compared with 60 percent for Clinton.

A Democrat represented the Green Bay-area district before Rep. Reid Ribble, who is retiring, won in 2010.

Republicans are scrambling to minimize losses in the House in the event Trump loses the presidential election to Clinton on Nov. 8.

Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) has been barnstorming the country for House GOP candidates, including Gallagher on Friday.

Read the full story here.